Full disclosure, I am Nottingham Forest fan, but, bear with me.
First thing’s first, great win last night.
Forest hadn’t won any of the last 10 games they’d played against Cardiff, and had only picked up 2 points since beating Leeds 2-0 on the 8th of February (albiet, not scoring against QPR at home last match in, shall we say, strange circumstances).
In my time following Forest, the most successful Championship seasons were the ones under Billy Davies, when they made it to the playoffs. That was quite a while ago – basically 10 years ago.
When Billy Davies most recently took Forest into the Championship playoffs to play Swansea, they won 56 points at home that season, losing only 3 games – taking the game to the opposition. Sabri Lamouchi’s Forest don’t really play like that, their best results seeming to come when they have less of the ball.
Take Forest’s recent home loss to Charlton – more of the ball, 2 shots on target, and a 1-0 loss.
Maybe that would suggest that Forest need someone with a little creativity to make something happen at home when they should have more of the ball. Joao Carvahlo fits that mould, but, it seems pretty obvious that Lamouchi doesn’t really fancy him, and why would he change a side that is currently 3rd to fit him in? But that’s another conversation for another day.
The Reds play best on the counter, which suits playing the ‘bigger’ sides and playing away from home, when the opposition has the ball. Take that 2-0 win over Leeds – 30% possession, but only conceded 1 shot on target.
But this difference in style doesn’t matter. In the Championship it’s all about picking up points, and Lamouchi has a team that does this. A team.
And I love this team.
You saw it against West Brom when Matty Cash scored that equaliser in injury time – everyone going all out, and never quitting.
Speaking of Matty Cash, he has been superb this season – and everyone knows all about the tackles and the possible Poland call up. Last night’s goalscorer, Tiago Silva, has had a good season too, although (as a friend mentioned to me last night) could do with a little more consistency in certain parts of his game (like goalscoring).
Sammy Ameobi is an enigma, often snatching embarrassment from the jaws of pure class. Joe Lolley seems to be coming into form after shaky start to season and getting over the election. Grabban might have gone off the boil, not scoring since a 1-1 draw against Reading in January, but you saw his class with his assist for Silva last night.
But still, I love this side. Brice Samba is a hero in every sense of the word, and has been fantastic in goal this year, bringing something Forest have needed in an age – a competent goalkeeper.
But, you can have a great team in the Championship, and it means nothing. Ask Leeds last year. Yes teams like Brighton in 2015/16 and Middlesbrough the season before that struggled in the playoffs but got promoted automatically in the years after, but having a good season means nothing in the playoffs – it’s about getting hot at the right time.
This is why I hate the Championship. It’s a mess. It’s always been a mess. It’s so congested between 2nd and 6th. It’s not like good teams get promoted, and you never have to see any good sides ever again – parachute payments mean good teams go up, and the ones that come down just take their place. You have to take any chance you get in this division.
Forest have been in this league for over a decade now.
It’s incredibly tough. But (touch wood) if Forest can stay in the playoff places, I like them against a Fulham or a Brentford. They will come on to Forest and dominate the ball – which suits them perfectly. But then again, if either of them come into the playoffs with some form, it doesn’t matter – it’s the team playing well that usually wins (like Aston Villa last year).
The Championship is a tough place to be, and that’s why I hate it. One game is a win away against Brentford, the next is a loss to Birmingham. The next game is a win against Leeds, the one after that is a loss at home against Charlton. It’s not exciting, it’s stressful.
But be careful what you wish for. I’ve wanted Forest to be out of this league for so long, and I nearly got my wish few years ago – into League One.
But still, this is an opportunity for Forest, but nothing more. Nothing can be taken for granted.
The Championship – always to be here? I hope not.